Stymie

Golf Weather Forecast

Conditions that actually matter on the course — wind impact (including gusts), dew point comfort, feels-like temperature, and a 5-day outlook framed for tee-time decisions. Pick your day, get the numbers.

Forecast covers today through Wed, Jul 8. Look up a different ZIP →

Forecast for

Hay Harbor Club

Town of Southold, CT

View course page →
Stymie
Stymie
Golf Weather
Humid
Monday, July 6
All-day avg
Hay Harbor Club
Town of Southold, CT
🌧️
68°
Rain · feels 68°
Wind
20 mph E
Plays 20 yds shorter into / 10 yds longer downwind on a 250-yd driver. Crosswind drifts ~4 yds on a 150-yd shot.
Dew point
65° · Humid
Sticky and noticeably warm. Grip slip becomes a factor late in the round; hydration matters. Ball flight is slightly shorter than dry conditions but not dramatic.
Gusts
32 mph peak · High
Club up and slow your tempo. Gusts this strong catch the ball in flight; punch shots travel more predictably.
Driver impact
−20 into / +10 down
Yards on a 250-yd driver. Crosswind drifts the ball ~4 yds on a 150-yd shot.
stymie.golf/weather
Wind · Dew Point · Gusts · Tee-time breakdown
rainy

Monday, July 6

68° / 66°F

Rain · feels around 68° (6769° range)

Wind

20 mph

from E · g32

Humidity

93%

Dew point

65°

Humid

Driver impact

sports_golf
20into·+10down

Yards on a 250-yd driver. Crosswind drifts ~4 yds on a 150-yd shot.

20 mph E

Grip

Damp

Dew point 65°

Hands stay sticky early; back nine you'll feel grip slip on long irons and driver.

Gust risk

High

32 mph peak

Club up and slow your tempo. Gusts this strong catch the ball in flight; punch shots travel more predictably.

Comfort

Pleasant

Feels 68°

Sweet spot. Pace stays steady, body stays loose.

Tee-time breakdown

Conditions through Monday, July 6 — pick the tee window that fits.

Morning

6 AM – 11 AM

rainy

67° · feels 67°

Rain

Wind
22 mph E
Gusts
30 mph
Humidity
90%
Dew point
64°

Early afternoon

11 AM – 2 PM

rainy

68° · feels 68°

Rain

Wind
22 mph E
Gusts
30 mph
Humidity
88%
Dew point
64°

Late afternoon

2 PM – 6 PM

rainy

67° · feels 68°

Rain

Wind
22 mph E
Gusts
32 mph
Humidity
97%
Dew point
66°
air

Wind — Strong

20 mph from E

Plays ~20 yds shorter into the wind, ~10 yds longer downwind on a driver. Crosswind drifts the ball ~4 yds on a 150-yd shot.

storm

Gusts — High

32 mph peak (12 above sustained)

Club up and slow your tempo. Gusts this strong catch the ball in flight; punch shots travel more predictably.

65°

Dew point — Humid

Sticky and noticeably warm. Grip slip becomes a factor late in the round; hydration matters. Ball flight is slightly shorter than dry conditions but not dramatic.

Browse by state

Per-state golf weather hubs with the top golf cities and seasonal context — when each region plays best, what dew points to expect, altitude effects.

Dew point comfort scale

Dew point — not humidity — is the cleanest single number for how oppressive the air feels. A 90% humidity day at 50°F feels great; the same humidity at 80°F is a sauna. Dew point captures that directly.

Below 50

Perfect

Dry, crisp air. Ball carries well, grips stay tacky, sweat-free 18.

50 – 59

Comfortable

Pleasant playing conditions. Most amateurs play their best in this band.

60 – 69

Humid

Sticky, noticeably warm. Grip slip becomes a factor late in the round.

70+

Unbearable

Heavy oppressive air. Ball flies shorter, hydration is critical.

Golf weather — frequently asked

How far ahead can I check golf weather?

Stymie pulls a 5-day forecast — today plus the next 4 days. For dates beyond that, swing back closer to your tee time and the page will fill in. Forecast accuracy is also strongest 0–3 days out; days 4–5 are useful for trends but the actual numbers can shift.

What dew point is comfortable for golf?

Anything below 60°F is comfortable. Below 50°F is ideal — dry air, grips stay tacky, ball carries normal distance. The 60–70°F range is humid; 70°F+ is oppressive: hands slip, the ball flies shorter through dense moisture-laden air, and dehydration risk climbs fast.

How does wind affect a golf shot?

A common caddie heuristic: each 1 mph of headwind costs roughly 1 yard of carry on a driver, and each 1 mph of tailwind adds about 0.5 yards. So a 15 mph headwind is roughly 15 yards short — about one club. Crosswinds don't shorten the shot much but push the ball sideways; aim 1 yard upwind for every 5 mph of crosswind on a 150-yard shot.

Are gusts worse than steady wind?

Yes. A steady 15 mph wind is predictable — pick your club, commit, swing. A 10 mph wind with 25 mph gusts is much harder because the gust can hit at the wrong moment in the swing or while the ball is in flight. When gusts are more than ~50% above sustained wind, club up and swing smoother instead of harder.

Does humidity make the ball go shorter?

Yes, but not by as much as people think. High humidity makes air slightly less dense, which actually means the ball flies *farther* by 1–2 yards per 50% humidity increase at constant temperature. The bigger humidity effect is on the player: grip slip and dehydration both eat into ball-striking quality, which is what most golfers feel as "the ball not going anywhere".

Is cold weather bad for golf?

The ball loses about 1 yard of carry for every 10°F below 70°F. At 40°F a 250-yard driver becomes ~228 yards. Cold also stiffens the body and the ball core — both reduce smash factor. Warm balls in your pocket between shots help marginally.

What temperature is best for golf?

The 65–80°F band is the sweet spot. Above 85°F with humidity over 60% the ball flies a touch shorter and the player tires faster; below 60°F you start losing carry on every club. The "shoot your number" range is 70–80°F with dew point under 60°F and wind under 10 mph.

What's the difference between feels-like and actual temperature?

Feels-like temperature factors humidity (in heat) and wind chill (in cold) on top of the air temperature. For golf, feels-like is more useful than the raw number — a 90°F day with 75% humidity feels closer to 100°F to your body, which dictates hydration and pacing. A 50°F day with 15 mph wind feels more like 40°F, which dictates layering and warm-up.